Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014449 0.017859 0.022253 0.028493 0.037409 0.050180 0.070869
2025-02-02 0.010957 0.014943 0.020891 0.031022 0.049329 0.084898 0.173630
2025-02-09 0.008790 0.012688 0.019041 0.031211 0.057221 0.122085 0.373133
2025-02-16 0.007441 0.011195 0.017730 0.031467 0.065335 0.172631 0.881371
2025-02-23 0.006459 0.010031 0.016578 0.031425 0.072876 0.238740 2.453458
2025-03-02 0.005567 0.008828 0.015014 0.029795 0.074960 0.292980 6.827928
2025-03-09 0.004952 0.008008 0.014000 0.029065 0.079547 0.380490 41.623258
2025-03-16 0.004563 0.007539 0.013588 0.029707 0.089996 0.567098 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004203 0.007066 0.013063 0.029843 0.099042 0.829792 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003800 0.006454 0.012108 0.028397 0.099731 1.019336 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003497 0.006004 0.011449 0.027647 0.103645 1.367130 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003323 0.005797 0.011318 0.028551 0.118519 2.502013 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003202 0.005716 0.011565 0.031216 0.153511 9.680269 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003083 0.005630 0.011800 0.034144 0.203326 158.270534 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002881 0.005328 0.011394 0.034361 0.231389 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002706 0.005064 0.011041 0.034654 0.264887 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002542 0.004805 0.010648 0.034605 0.297284 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002349 0.004457 0.009940 0.032748 0.295088 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002202 0.004206 0.009475 0.031917 0.311635 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002108 0.004068 0.009325 0.032647 0.369076 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002009 0.003909 0.009084 0.032802 0.420231 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001882 0.003669 0.008558 0.031158 0.413250 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001781 0.003488 0.008193 0.030307 0.430545 NaN NaN